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Red228
4392165.3
1493149.1
5436176.2
Blue373
1322162.9
1660139.2
1218184.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3623250100200400500600700228373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5436
#39
176.21.0
175.2176.1
Auto23.6
Teleop130.3
End21.5
blue by 7.9
1218
#29
184.10.1
181.3181.2
Auto20.5
Teleop136.2
End27.2
Second
4392
#54
165.30.7
171.7171.0
Auto14.8
Teleop133.3
End19.3
red by 2.4
1322
#13
162.90.1
157.6157.5
Auto18.8
Teleop114.6
End31.2
Third
1493
#64
149.11.2
159.6158.4
Auto20.0
Teleop111.1
End14.4
red by 9.8
1660
#50
139.20.7
139.3138.6
Auto21.9
Teleop102.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed54%Face the Boss oddsMissed