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Red101
2202170.6
6968117.3
2620117.6
Blue438
4776177.9
4909167.0
4541169.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2604280100200300500600101438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#26
170.60.1
174.0173.9
Auto19.6
Teleop120.5
End30.7
blue by 7.3
177.91.7
173.1174.8
Auto19.8
Teleop132.1
End24.6
Second
2620
#68
117.60.2
122.4122.2
Auto17.1
Teleop81.3
End14.9
blue by 51.7
4541
#28
169.20.3
165.6165.9
Auto20.5
Teleop132.8
End17.7
Third
6968
#66
117.30.0
120.9120.9
Auto15.2
Teleop87.5
End14.7
blue by 49.7
4909
#53
167.00.0
168.5168.5
Auto17.9
Teleop123.9
End24.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed45%Face the Boss oddsMissed