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Red204
1262180.5
7160125.9
5531145.1
Blue415
2016150.0
2200179.8
4237175.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309387100200500600204415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#57
180.51.2
185.8184.6
Auto21.8
Teleop128.1
End28.8
red by 0.8
2200
#12
179.80.5
177.5178.0
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End33.7
Second
5531
#67
145.10.6
150.2149.6
Auto15.9
Teleop114.4
End10.9
blue by 30.8
4237
#23
175.90.9
170.7171.6
Auto21.6
Teleop141.2
End14.4
Third
7160
#40
125.90.2
123.2123.3
Auto18.8
Teleop93.7
End13.7
blue by 24.1
2016
#32
150.00.4
146.9146.5
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss oddsMissed32%Face the Boss oddsMissed