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Red305
447174.2
6329156.3
2177115.4
Blue294
3618160.2
1325208.4
7329138.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278416100200500600305294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#34
174.20.5
171.8172.3
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End27.1
blue by 34.2
208.41.8
205.6207.4
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
Second
6329
#27
156.30.2
155.3155.1
Auto20.5
Teleop114.5
End23.5
blue by 3.9
3618
#63
160.20.5
162.5162.9
Auto21.8
Teleop121.3
End16.5
Third
2177
#45
115.40.8
114.6115.3
Auto14.0
Teleop90.2
End10.0
blue by 22.8
7329
#48
138.20.3
138.1138.4
Auto21.5
Teleop100.4
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed