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Red234
6328160.7
2081150.8
3620174.1
Blue410
5674167.5
3656198.3
1660139.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336355100200300400500234410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#16
174.10.5
175.4174.9
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
blue by 24.2
3656
#36
198.31.6
200.4198.9
Auto20.3
Teleop148.8
End30.5
Second
160.71.0
158.4159.4
Auto20.9
Teleop121.0
End22.8
blue by 6.8
5674
#44
167.50.4
166.9167.3
Auto19.6
Teleop122.9
End24.8
Third
2081
#60
150.80.2
153.9154.1
Auto20.1
Teleop114.4
End13.4
red by 11.5
1660
#50
139.20.0
138.6138.6
Auto21.9
Teleop102.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed30%Face the Boss oddsEarned