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Red205
4096150.4
2830156.3
1493149.1
Blue492
6875134.9
303191.8
1114226.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2584540100200300400500600700205492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2830
#51
156.31.8
153.4155.2
Auto18.7
Teleop122.4
End11.8
blue by 70.6
1114
#10
226.90.0
220.7220.7
Auto23.7
Teleop172.4
End30.3
Second
4096
#56
150.40.4
148.5148.9
Auto18.3
Teleop113.9
End17.9
blue by 41.4
303
#33
191.80.4
194.8194.3
Auto22.6
Teleop137.4
End30.5
Third
1493
#64
149.12.5
158.4155.9
Auto20.0
Teleop111.1
End14.4
red by 14.1
6875
#14
134.90.8
129.6130.4
Auto19.2
Teleop96.8
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed62%Face the Boss oddsEarned