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Red282
1259194.1
4909167.0
6121147.4
Blue448
5436176.2
7160125.9
67207.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361353250300400450500282448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1259
#30
194.10.1
194.8194.9
Auto21.5
Teleop146.1
End22.5
blue by 13.0
67
#1
207.10.2
203.9203.6
Auto21.9
Teleop144.1
End38.7
Second
4909
#53
167.00.1
168.5168.4
Auto17.9
Teleop123.9
End24.0
blue by 9.2
5436
#39
176.20.5
175.4174.9
Auto23.6
Teleop130.3
End21.5
Third
6121
#38
147.40.9
144.0144.9
Auto21.0
Teleop109.4
End19.6
red by 21.5
7160
#40
125.90.5
123.3122.8
Auto18.8
Teleop93.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsMissed78%Face the Boss oddsEarned