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Red398
5407164.9
4776177.9
3656198.3
Blue324
612172.1
4237175.9
2830156.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36435502006008001,0001,2001,4001,600398324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#36
198.30.6
198.9198.2
Auto20.3
Teleop148.8
End30.5
red by 22.4
4237
#23
175.90.9
171.6172.5
Auto21.6
Teleop141.2
End14.4
Second
177.91.4
174.8176.2
Auto19.8
Teleop132.1
End24.6
red by 5.8
612
#49
172.10.5
171.2171.8
Auto21.9
Teleop134.9
End17.7
Third
5407
#21
164.90.1
163.1163.2
Auto16.7
Teleop118.9
End30.5
red by 8.5
2830
#51
156.30.6
155.2155.9
Auto18.7
Teleop122.4
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
74%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed