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Red375
447174.2
2549139.7
6328160.7
Blue389
6875134.9
1923189.0
2620117.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382305100200500600700375389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
447
#34
174.20.5
172.3172.7
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End27.1
blue by 14.8
1923
#19
189.00.1
186.8186.7
Auto24.5
Teleop149.5
End16.0
Second
160.70.1
159.4159.5
Auto20.9
Teleop121.0
End22.8
red by 25.8
6875
#14
134.91.1
130.4131.4
Auto19.2
Teleop96.8
End20.7
Third
2549
#58
139.70.3
139.1138.8
Auto17.6
Teleop105.4
End16.2
red by 22.2
2620
#68
117.61.2
122.2120.9
Auto17.1
Teleop81.3
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned10%Face the Boss oddsMissed