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Red270
4557184.7
5422124.7
1660139.2
Blue379
4011146.5
1756192.3
3618160.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301412100200500600700270379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4557
#43
184.70.2
186.8186.7
Auto21.5
Teleop136.0
End24.1
blue by 7.6
192.30.5
190.7191.1
Auto24.6
Teleop139.2
End31.5
Second
1660
#50
139.20.5
138.6139.1
Auto21.9
Teleop102.5
End11.5
blue by 20.9
3618
#63
160.20.9
162.9162.0
Auto21.8
Teleop121.3
End16.5
Third
5422
#62
124.71.3
120.6121.9
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End11.6
blue by 21.9
4011
#42
146.50.4
148.0147.6
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed