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Red116
2177115.4
2228124.2
5674167.5
Blue414
1493149.1
2220154.3
1262180.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653880100200300500600700116414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5674
#44
167.50.9
167.3168.1
Auto19.6
Teleop122.9
End24.8
blue by 13.0
1262
#57
180.51.6
184.6183.0
Auto21.8
Teleop128.1
End28.8
Second
2228
#61
124.20.7
122.2122.8
Auto19.1
Teleop87.0
End21.7
blue by 30.1
2220
#15
154.30.8
152.2153.0
Auto24.2
Teleop115.8
End17.5
Third
2177
#45
115.40.7
115.3116.0
Auto14.0
Teleop90.2
End10.0
blue by 33.7
1493
#64
149.12.8
155.9153.1
Auto20.0
Teleop111.1
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsMissed94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsMissed