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Red358
6121147.4
2016150.0
4392165.3
Blue345
1259194.1
2177115.4
4011146.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325338200250300350400450358345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#54
165.31.3
167.4166.1
Auto14.8
Teleop133.3
End19.3
blue by 28.7
1259
#30
194.10.4
194.9194.5
Auto21.5
Teleop146.1
End22.5
Second
2016
#32
150.00.6
146.3146.9
Auto23.2
Teleop115.3
End9.0
red by 3.5
4011
#42
146.50.4
147.6147.2
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End20.5
Third
6121
#38
147.40.3
144.9145.2
Auto21.0
Teleop109.4
End19.6
red by 32.0
2177
#45
115.40.3
116.0115.7
Auto14.0
Teleop90.2
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed