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Red420
2830156.3
2377165.7
1322162.9
Blue305
7329138.2
5531145.1
5674167.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391308100200500600700420305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#18
165.70.5
165.5165.0
Auto19.2
Teleop119.0
End28.3
blue by 1.8
5674
#44
167.50.2
168.1168.0
Auto19.6
Teleop122.9
End24.8
Second
1322
#13
162.91.3
158.5159.8
Auto18.8
Teleop114.6
End31.2
red by 17.8
5531
#67
145.11.7
148.4146.7
Auto15.9
Teleop114.4
End10.9
Third
2830
#51
156.30.4
155.9156.2
Auto18.7
Teleop122.4
End11.8
red by 18.1
7329
#48
138.20.1
137.4137.5
Auto21.5
Teleop100.4
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsMissed