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Red215
612172.1
3381131.4
6860103.3
Blue349
1262180.5
894146.9
6328160.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249414100200300500600215349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#49
172.10.3
171.8172.1
Auto21.9
Teleop134.9
End17.7
blue by 8.4
1262
#57
180.50.7
183.0182.3
Auto21.8
Teleop128.1
End28.8
Second
3381
#55
131.40.5
129.8130.3
Auto18.1
Teleop100.2
End16.6
blue by 29.3
160.70.5
159.5159.9
Auto20.9
Teleop121.0
End22.8
Third
6860
#65
103.30.2
104.8104.5
Auto17.3
Teleop76.0
End9.3
blue by 43.6
894
#17
146.90.4
146.6147.0
Auto18.0
Teleop111.8
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned87%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsEarned