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Red448
1325208.4
447174.2
870188.5
Blue360
1218184.1
4909167.0
4557184.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions447336100200300400500600700800448360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.40.4
207.6208.0
Auto23.9
Teleop156.3
End27.7
red by 23.8
4557
#43
184.70.1
186.7186.5
Auto21.5
Teleop136.0
End24.1
Second
870
#20
188.50.1
188.5188.4
Auto23.1
Teleop132.2
End32.3
red by 4.4
1218
#29
184.10.8
182.2183.0
Auto20.5
Teleop136.2
End27.2
Third
447
#34
174.20.8
172.7173.5
Auto20.4
Teleop127.5
End27.1
red by 7.2
4909
#53
167.00.4
168.4168.0
Auto17.9
Teleop123.9
End24.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
62%Face the Boss oddsEarned63%Face the Boss oddsEarned