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Red355
1493149.1
2081150.8
4003209.0
Blue320
1559169.5
5407164.9
5216157.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335350200250300400450355320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
209.00.7
207.1207.8
Auto22.2
Teleop161.7
End27.8
red by 39.5
1559
#25
169.50.6
167.3167.9
Auto22.1
Teleop122.8
End27.6
Second
2081
#60
150.81.0
153.5152.5
Auto20.1
Teleop114.4
End13.4
blue by 14.1
5407
#21
164.90.5
163.2163.7
Auto16.7
Teleop118.9
End30.5
Third
1493
#64
149.11.7
153.1151.4
Auto20.0
Teleop111.1
End14.4
blue by 8.4
5216
#35
157.50.6
156.3156.9
Auto16.9
Teleop120.2
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsMissed90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed37%Face the Boss oddsEarned