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Red294
1262180.5
4557184.7
5913140.3
Blue384
4392165.3
4541169.2
1322162.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3373860100200300500600700294384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4557
#43
184.70.1
186.5186.5
Auto21.5
Teleop136.0
End24.1
red by 15.4
4541
#28
169.21.2
166.8168.0
Auto20.5
Teleop132.8
End17.7
Second
1262
#57
180.50.7
182.3181.6
Auto21.8
Teleop128.1
End28.8
red by 15.2
4392
#54
165.30.7
166.1165.4
Auto14.8
Teleop133.3
End19.3
Third
5913
#31
140.30.9
138.1139.0
Auto19.2
Teleop105.1
End14.8
blue by 22.6
1322
#13
162.91.6
159.8161.4
Auto18.8
Teleop114.6
End31.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsMissed20%Face the Boss oddsMissed