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Red390
67207.1
7329138.2
2200179.8
Blue302
303191.8
4237175.9
1660139.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355386100200300500600700390302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#1
207.10.9
204.4205.3
Auto21.9
Teleop144.1
End38.7
red by 15.3
303
#33
191.80.9
194.6193.7
Auto22.6
Teleop137.4
End30.5
Second
2200
#12
179.80.0
178.8178.8
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End33.7
red by 3.8
4237
#23
175.91.1
173.1174.1
Auto21.6
Teleop141.2
End14.4
Third
7329
#48
138.20.2
137.5137.8
Auto21.5
Teleop100.4
End18.5
blue by 1.1
1660
#50
139.20.2
139.5139.7
Auto21.9
Teleop102.5
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
94%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsMissed