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Red394
16182.0
3310195.2
7123113.5
Blue324
364173.7
3937165.0
4576109.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389316100200500600394324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.20.5
194.2194.7
Auto26.7
Teleop141.2
End26.4
red by 21.5
364
#10
173.70.8
172.1172.9
Auto19.2
Teleop125.2
End30.8
Second
16
#2
182.00.5
181.0181.5
Auto25.1
Teleop126.6
End32.2
red by 17.0
165.00.7
163.6164.3
Auto21.7
Teleop124.3
End19.6
Third
7123
#44
113.50.4
112.7113.2
Auto12.5
Teleop90.2
End11.0
red by 4.2
4576
#45
109.40.7
107.9108.6
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End12.7