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Quarterfinal 4-22018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red426
3616149.2
4635148.3
6131116.1
Blue371
5006140.4
701153.2
5437137.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304346100200400500600700426371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#8
149.21.1
145.9→147.0
Auto18.5
Teleop117.5
End17.6
blue by 4.0
701
#7
153.20.5
152.7→153.2
Auto26.0
Teleop113.8
End13.6
Second
4635
#4
148.30.9
145.7→146.5
Auto26.5
Teleop113.4
End12.1
red by 7.8
5006
#11
140.40.8
139.6→140.4
Auto17.0
Teleop102.7
End23.8
Third
6131
#27
116.10.0
115.9→115.9
Auto18.0
Teleop89.2
End11.6
blue by 21.3
5437
#15
137.50.4
137.1→137.5
Auto16.9
Teleop102.3
End20.7