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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red362
3616149.2
4635148.3
6131116.1
Blue295
5006140.4
701153.2
5437137.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296352100200400500600362295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#8
149.21.0
144.8→145.9
Auto18.5
Teleop117.5
End17.6
blue by 4.0
701
#7
153.20.6
152.2→152.7
Auto26.0
Teleop113.8
End13.6
Second
4635
#4
148.30.8
144.8→145.7
Auto26.5
Teleop113.4
End12.1
red by 7.8
5006
#11
140.41.0
138.6→139.6
Auto17.0
Teleop102.7
End23.8
Third
6131
#27
116.10.2
116.1→115.9
Auto18.0
Teleop89.2
End11.6
blue by 21.3
5437
#15
137.50.6
136.5→137.1
Auto16.9
Teleop102.3
End20.7