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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red423
364173.7
3937165.0
4576109.4
Blue298
1764132.5
5550138.1
6474148.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340315150200250400450500550423298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#10
173.70.7
168.9→169.6
Auto19.2
Teleop125.2
End30.8
red by 25.3
6474
#16
148.40.8
146.9→147.7
Auto17.5
Teleop114.9
End18.2
Second
3937
#3
165.00.6
160.7→161.4
Auto21.7
Teleop124.3
End19.6
red by 26.9
5550
#12
138.10.3
137.4→137.8
Auto16.8
Teleop106.1
End18.4
Third
4576
#45
109.40.7
104.9→105.6
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End12.7
blue by 23.1
1764
#14
132.50.3
131.9→132.2
Auto18.7
Teleop101.3
End12.1