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Quarterfinal 2-32018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red320
323129.4
6055146.0
3337120.1
Blue264
4400135.8
2992150.4
4523136.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319323200250300350400450320264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6055
#5
146.01.1
141.9→142.9
Auto20.4
Teleop105.2
End23.0
blue by 4.5
2992
#6
150.40.3
150.8→150.4
Auto15.8
Teleop119.1
End12.6
Second
323
#9
129.40.7
126.7→127.4
Auto15.1
Teleop103.4
End12.7
blue by 6.7
4523
#36
136.10.5
135.6→136.1
Auto16.4
Teleop98.7
End22.3
Third
3337
#20
120.10.7
117.4→118.1
Auto16.0
Teleop92.6
End13.7
blue by 15.7
4400
#43
135.80.2
135.5→135.8
Auto14.6
Teleop102.6
End17.8