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Semifinal 2-22018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red418
364173.7
3937165.0
4576109.4
Blue301
3616149.2
4635148.3
6131116.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376298100200400500600418301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#10
173.70.8
171.3→172.1
Auto19.2
Teleop125.2
End30.8
red by 24.4
3616
#8
149.21.1
148.1→149.2
Auto18.5
Teleop117.5
End17.6
Second
3937
#3
165.00.7
162.9→163.6
Auto21.7
Teleop124.3
End19.6
red by 16.7
4635
#4
148.30.9
147.4→148.3
Auto26.5
Teleop113.4
End12.1
Third
4576
#45
109.40.7
107.2→107.9
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End12.7
blue by 6.8
6131
#27
116.10.1
116.0→116.1
Auto18.0
Teleop89.2
End11.6