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Qual 112018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red382
4523136.1
4005109.6
3160111.6
Blue129
726395.7
6840106.8
277394.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2852240100400500600700382129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4523
#36
136.19.5
89.2→98.7
Auto16.4
Teleop98.7
End22.3
red by 29.3
6840
#51
106.88.2
77.7→85.9
Auto14.4
Teleop77.4
End14.6
Second
3160
#48
111.68.2
94.3→102.5
Auto16.7
Teleop81.3
End17.1
red by 16.0
7263
#50
95.78.4
77.7→86.2
Auto14.1
Teleop78.5
End-1.1
Third
4005
#52
109.66.9
92.5→99.3
Auto13.1
Teleop84.5
End9.6
red by 14.7
2773
#55
94.98.2
88.0→96.2
Auto13.4
Teleop77.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed