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Red241
6640128.2
4209127.3
5729118.5
Blue260
5178105.3
4400135.8
7106110.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254270100200300400500241260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6640
#31
128.215.4
79.795.1
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End17.9
blue by 7.6
4400
#43
135.813.5
92.5106.0
Auto14.6
Teleop102.6
End17.8
Second
4209
#17
127.312.1
79.791.8
Auto17.0
Teleop99.2
End7.9
red by 16.5
7106
#42
110.811.1
77.788.8
Auto15.2
Teleop84.9
End10.6
Third
5729
#26
118.58.5
76.985.4
Auto16.0
Teleop93.9
End12.2
red by 13.2
5178
#40
105.38.8
80.289.0
Auto15.5
Teleop83.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed