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Red196
701153.2
2183136.0
6586107.5
Blue220
4635148.3
5454125.4
5721109.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302271100200400500196220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#7
153.212.7
105.5118.1
Auto26.0
Teleop113.8
End13.6
red by 4.9
148.31.0
134.7135.7
Auto26.5
Teleop113.4
End12.1
Second
2183
#18
136.015.4
80.395.7
Auto16.5
Teleop103.7
End16.2
red by 10.6
5454
#22
125.416.8
67.183.9
Auto20.0
Teleop90.2
End17.4
Third
6586
#33
107.518.9
49.468.2
Auto14.6
Teleop84.2
End11.2
blue by 1.5
5721
#29
109.017.3
63.080.3
Auto19.4
Teleop81.5
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed