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Qual 232018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red248
6186103.7
3616149.2
5729118.5
Blue198
7123113.5
2992150.4
4523136.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251279100200400500248198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#8
149.26.4
115.6→122.0
Auto18.5
Teleop117.5
End17.6
blue by 1.2
2992
#6
150.49.4
112.6→121.9
Auto15.8
Teleop119.1
End12.6
Second
5729
#26
118.56.4
85.4→91.8
Auto16.0
Teleop93.9
End12.2
blue by 17.6
4523
#36
136.17.8
98.7→106.5
Auto16.4
Teleop98.7
End22.3
Third
6186
#28
103.711.7
81.4→93.1
Auto13.1
Teleop82.7
End7.9
blue by 9.8
7123
#44
113.58.1
88.1→96.2
Auto12.5
Teleop90.2
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed