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Red263
16182.0
1912109.7
1209109.5
Blue375
31108.0
6474148.4
3310195.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290293150200250350400450263375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#2
182.010.1
137.0147.1
Auto25.1
Teleop126.6
End32.2
blue by 13.2
195.211.5
135.9147.4
Auto26.7
Teleop141.2
End26.4
Second
1912
#39
109.73.0
105.8108.8
Auto16.1
Teleop85.6
End9.4
blue by 38.7
6474
#16
148.47.9
105.4113.4
Auto17.5
Teleop114.9
End18.2
Third
1209
#30
109.58.1
98.9106.9
Auto15.6
Teleop87.9
End1.9
red by 1.5
31
#49
108.04.2
93.497.5
Auto14.6
Teleop89.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed