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Red333
1818118.0
2395124.2
4400135.8
Blue233
7066104.9
5721109.0
6131116.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255262100150200300350400450333233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#43
135.88.9
106.0114.9
Auto14.6
Teleop102.6
End17.8
red by 19.6
6131
#27
116.110.1
96.2106.3
Auto18.0
Teleop89.2
End11.6
Second
2395
#32
124.22.6
100.3102.9
Auto17.1
Teleop89.8
End18.0
red by 15.2
5721
#29
109.06.0
91.097.0
Auto19.4
Teleop81.5
End10.1
Third
1818
#19
118.01.6
91.192.7
Auto14.6
Teleop90.6
End12.9
red by 13.1
7066
#47
104.94.3
88.292.5
Auto16.6
Teleop78.4
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed