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Red278
6640128.2
4403113.8
364173.7
Blue183
5454125.4
5437137.5
3616149.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282269100200400500278183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#10
173.79.2
128.5137.7
Auto19.2
Teleop125.2
End30.8
red by 24.4
149.23.5
122.0125.5
Auto18.5
Teleop117.5
End17.6
Second
6640
#31
128.24.4
106.1110.5
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End17.9
blue by 9.3
5437
#15
137.53.4
124.7128.1
Auto16.9
Teleop102.3
End20.7
Third
4403
#21
113.81.9
108.7110.6
Auto13.7
Teleop92.8
End7.0
blue by 11.6
5454
#22
125.46.5
94.3100.8
Auto20.0
Teleop90.2
End17.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed