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Qual 292018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red300
7106110.8
2183136.0
3039138.7
Blue208
34127.5
1912109.7
726395.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3152220100400500300208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#13
138.71.4
122.8→124.2
Auto19.4
Teleop103.7
End14.1
red by 11.2
34
#38
127.56.5
112.7→119.2
Auto15.4
Teleop97.7
End11.0
Second
2183
#18
136.07.2
109.2→116.5
Auto16.5
Teleop103.7
End16.2
red by 26.3
1912
#39
109.71.7
108.8→110.4
Auto16.1
Teleop85.6
End9.4
Third
7106
#42
110.88.3
96.2→104.5
Auto15.2
Teleop84.9
End10.6
red by 15.1
7263
#50
95.70.8
91.4→92.2
Auto14.1
Teleop78.5
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed