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Red117
7123113.5
6840106.8
2080129.1
Blue302
6474148.4
4635148.3
5729118.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143190100400500117302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2080
#25
129.13.9
110.9114.8
Auto16.6
Teleop95.1
End17.4
blue by 19.2
6474
#16
148.47.6
113.4121.0
Auto17.5
Teleop114.9
End18.2
Second
7123
#44
113.54.7
96.2100.9
Auto12.5
Teleop90.2
End11.0
blue by 34.7
148.31.1
136.8137.9
Auto26.5
Teleop113.4
End12.1
Third
6840
#51
106.81.8
91.092.7
Auto14.4
Teleop77.4
End14.6
blue by 11.7
5729
#26
118.53.4
91.895.2
Auto16.0
Teleop93.9
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed