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Red113
277394.9
5178105.3
1818118.0
Blue344
2080129.1
2992150.4
5568110.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2552940100200400500600113344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1818
#19
118.017.0
65.482.5
Auto14.6
Teleop90.6
End12.9
blue by 32.4
150.414.7
86.3101.0
Auto15.8
Teleop119.1
End12.6
Second
5178
#40
105.317.3
62.980.2
Auto15.5
Teleop83.6
End10.1
blue by 23.9
2080
#25
129.115.8
76.792.5
Auto16.6
Teleop95.1
End17.4
Third
2773
#55
94.916.3
71.788.0
Auto13.4
Teleop77.3
End2.8
blue by 15.6
5568
#35
110.517.0
66.083.0
Auto12.7
Teleop91.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed