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Red443
16182.0
3310195.2
4400135.8
Blue140
1700102.5
34127.5
5006140.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3392640100200300400500600443140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.211.9
113.0124.9
Auto26.7
Teleop141.2
End26.4
red by 54.7
5006
#11
140.415.3
81.296.4
Auto17.0
Teleop102.7
End23.8
Second
16
#2
182.011.7
114.4126.1
Auto25.1
Teleop126.6
End32.2
red by 54.5
34
#38
127.515.2
81.496.7
Auto15.4
Teleop97.7
End11.0
Third
4400
#43
135.815.8
76.892.5
Auto14.6
Teleop102.6
End17.8
red by 33.3
1700
#53
102.515.0
84.099.0
Auto14.8
Teleop79.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed