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Qual 452018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red211
4400135.8
4576109.4
34127.5
Blue274
1764132.5
5178105.3
1209109.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132360100200400500211274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#43
135.85.8
123.0→128.8
Auto14.6
Teleop102.6
End17.8
red by 3.3
1764
#14
132.55.8
107.2→113.0
Auto18.7
Teleop101.3
End12.1
Second
34
#38
127.54.7
119.2→123.9
Auto15.4
Teleop97.7
End11.0
red by 18.0
1209
#30
109.50.2
112.0→111.8
Auto15.6
Teleop87.9
End1.9
Third
4576
#45
109.41.1
103.3→102.1
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End12.7
red by 4.1
5178
#40
105.30.7
97.6→98.3
Auto15.5
Teleop83.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed