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Red254
3160111.6
7066104.9
6474148.4
Blue191
31108.0
7106110.8
5437137.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2243060100400500600254191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6474
#16
148.45.0
121.0125.9
Auto17.5
Teleop114.9
End18.2
red by 10.9
5437
#15
137.51.4
129.9131.3
Auto16.9
Teleop102.3
End20.7
Second
3160
#48
111.60.5
114.0113.5
Auto16.7
Teleop81.3
End17.1
red by 0.8
7106
#42
110.86.7
104.5111.1
Auto15.2
Teleop84.9
End10.6
Third
7066
#47
104.90.2
96.296.4
Auto16.6
Teleop78.4
End12.2
blue by 3.1
31
#49
108.03.7
102.5106.2
Auto14.6
Teleop89.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed