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Red124
2395124.2
3337120.1
5002110.2
Blue413
2992150.4
6055146.0
6640128.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247317100200400500124413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2395
#32
124.24.9
111.8116.7
Auto17.1
Teleop89.8
End18.0
blue by 26.2
150.44.9
132.8137.7
Auto15.8
Teleop119.1
End12.6
Second
3337
#20
120.13.1
105.9109.0
Auto16.0
Teleop92.6
End13.7
blue by 25.8
146.03.9
114.8118.7
Auto20.4
Teleop105.2
End23.0
Third
5002
#34
110.20.9
108.1109.0
Auto15.6
Teleop83.1
End15.8
blue by 18.0
6640
#31
128.22.4
118.1120.5
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed