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Red268
323129.4
4403113.8
7123113.5
Blue146
2183136.0
3937165.0
6131116.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113460100300400500600268146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#9
129.44.0
114.3118.3
Auto15.1
Teleop103.4
End12.7
blue by 35.6
165.04.3
150.1154.3
Auto21.7
Teleop124.3
End19.6
Second
4403
#21
113.80.7
110.8111.5
Auto13.7
Teleop92.8
End7.0
blue by 22.2
2183
#18
136.08.5
122.4130.9
Auto16.5
Teleop103.7
End16.2
Third
7123
#44
113.51.4
103.3104.7
Auto12.5
Teleop90.2
End11.0
blue by 2.6
6131
#27
116.11.3
120.5121.8
Auto18.0
Teleop89.2
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed