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Qual 62018 Arkansas Rock City Regional
Red468
7260110.6
6131116.1
364173.7
Blue138
4576109.4
3160111.6
1764132.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632940100200400500600468138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#10
173.714.4
88.8→103.2
Auto19.2
Teleop125.2
End30.8
red by 41.2
1764
#14
132.515.8
76.1→91.9
Auto18.7
Teleop101.3
End12.1
Second
6131
#27
116.117.2
63.6→80.9
Auto18.0
Teleop89.2
End11.6
red by 4.5
3160
#48
111.615.5
78.8→94.3
Auto16.7
Teleop81.3
End17.1
Third
7260
#37
110.632.9
110.6→77.7
Auto16.3
Teleop80.2
End16.5
red by 1.2
4576
#45
109.415.3
80.6→95.9
Auto13.5
Teleop85.1
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed