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Red116
6647142.9
7123113.5
3337120.1
Blue220
6492106.9
1209109.5
31108.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289268100150200250350400450116220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#41
142.91.4
133.7135.1
Auto18.4
Teleop108.0
End16.9
red by 33.4
1209
#30
109.516.2
72.989.1
Auto15.6
Teleop87.9
End1.9
Second
3337
#20
120.116.8
67.183.9
Auto16.0
Teleop92.6
End13.7
red by 12.1
31
#49
108.016.9
66.283.1
Auto14.6
Teleop89.4
End3.7
Third
7123
#44
113.545.4
123.277.7
Auto12.5
Teleop90.2
End11.0
red by 6.7
6492
#46
106.917.1
64.581.6
Auto15.5
Teleop83.7
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed