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Red153
2080129.1
3991130.8
34127.5
Blue319
6586107.5
3616149.2
5002110.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319267100200400500153319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3991
#24
130.80.4
132.5132.9
Auto16.9
Teleop100.8
End13.0
blue by 18.4
149.23.4
137.9141.3
Auto18.5
Teleop117.5
End17.6
Second
2080
#25
129.13.6
125.6129.2
Auto16.6
Teleop95.1
End17.4
red by 19.0
5002
#34
110.20.8
107.6108.4
Auto15.6
Teleop83.1
End15.8
Third
34
#38
127.51.0
128.3129.3
Auto15.4
Teleop97.7
End11.0
red by 20.0
6586
#33
107.52.8
99.2102.0
Auto14.6
Teleop84.2
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed