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Red395
5006140.4
4635148.3
5568110.5
Blue82
4403113.8
5729118.5
5550138.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278311010020040050060070039582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.31.4
140.9142.3
Auto26.5
Teleop113.4
End12.1
red by 10.2
5550
#12
138.14.2
133.2137.4
Auto16.8
Teleop106.1
End18.4
Second
5006
#11
140.43.8
129.8133.6
Auto17.0
Teleop102.7
End23.8
red by 22.0
5729
#26
118.53.5
115.0118.5
Auto16.0
Teleop93.9
End12.2
Third
5568
#35
110.52.1
108.4110.5
Auto12.7
Teleop91.3
End12.5
blue by 3.3
4403
#21
113.81.4
113.5114.8
Auto13.7
Teleop92.8
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed