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Red320
4635189.4
6055171.2
5930134.5
Blue314
3937186.4
5454125.4
5568110.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3783070100200500600700320314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#11
189.40.0
189.4189.4
Auto29.4
Teleop141.9
End16.7
red by 3.0
186.40.0
186.4186.4
Auto22.3
Teleop139.7
End22.3
Second
171.20.0
171.2171.2
Auto25.1
Teleop117.1
End30.8
red by 45.8
125.40.0
125.4125.4
Auto20.0
Teleop90.2
End17.4
Third
134.50.0
134.5134.5
Auto17.4
Teleop102.8
End15.6
red by 24.0
5568
#13
110.50.0
110.5110.5
Auto12.7
Teleop91.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest odds59%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds6%Face the Boss odds