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Red215
4356128.2
5729118.5
5006158.4
Blue410
323147.7
5437152.1
900160.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27734502006008001,0001,200215410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.40.0
158.4158.4
Auto19.0
Teleop109.8
End27.7
red by 6.4
152.10.0
152.1152.1
Auto19.4
Teleop111.2
End22.4
Second
4356
#12
128.20.0
128.2128.2
Auto19.2
Teleop97.5
End11.1
blue by 19.6
323
#2
147.70.0
147.7147.7
Auto21.7
Teleop110.2
End17.6
Third
5729
#18
118.50.0
118.5118.5
Auto16.0
Teleop93.9
End12.2
red by 58.4
9001
#14
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest odds68%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds