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Red329
5988120.2
712960.1
3132146.4
Blue173
6525119.4
4729126.9
5988B60.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3202710100200400500600329173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
Unranked
146.40.0
146.4146.4
Auto18.7
Teleop94.0
End30.7
red by 19.6
4729
Unranked
126.90.0
126.9126.9
Auto16.1
Teleop91.2
End26.7
Second
5988
Unranked
120.20.0
120.2120.2
Auto15.6
Teleop90.6
End14.7
red by 0.8
6525
Unranked
119.40.0
119.4119.4
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.4
Third
7129
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Level
5988B
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto7.8
Teleop45.3
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest odds36%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
27%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds