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Red175
5876B50.5
6575115.6
6510155.7
Blue306
7023123.0
6434134.1
7278132.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2593170200400600800175306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6510
Unranked
155.70.0
155.7155.7
Auto24.8
Teleop114.8
End16.7
red by 21.6
6434
Unranked
134.10.0
134.1134.1
Auto16.8
Teleop107.8
End12.4
Second
6575
Unranked
115.60.0
115.6115.6
Auto16.1
Teleop88.8
End9.9
blue by 16.4
7278
Unranked
132.00.0
132.0132.0
Auto18.4
Teleop99.4
End14.0
Third
5876B
Unranked
50.50.0
50.550.5
Auto7.8
Teleop39.7
End4.5
blue by 72.4
7023
Unranked
123.00.0
123.0123.0
Auto14.5
Teleop98.6
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest odds34%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds