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Red366
6476124.8
5584184.2
3132B73.2
Blue189
4729126.9
743360.1
5876B50.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3742340100200300500600366189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5584
Unranked
184.20.0
184.2184.2
Auto24.4
Teleop128.4
End31.3
red by 57.3
4729
Unranked
126.90.0
126.9126.9
Auto16.1
Teleop91.2
End26.7
Second
6476
Unranked
124.80.0
124.8124.8
Auto16.9
Teleop92.0
End20.5
red by 64.7
7433
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
Third
3132B
Unranked
73.20.0
73.273.2
Auto9.4
Teleop47.0
End15.4
red by 22.7
5876B
Unranked
50.50.0
50.550.5
Auto7.8
Teleop39.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest odds29%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
38%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds