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Red167
4537132.8
6579B90.8
756160.1
Blue263
7124103.7
3132146.4
6035116.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3392690100200400500600700167263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4537
Unranked
132.80.0
132.8132.8
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
blue by 13.7
3132
Unranked
146.40.0
146.4146.4
Auto18.7
Teleop94.0
End30.7
Second
6579B
Unranked
90.80.0
90.890.8
Auto10.4
Teleop67.7
End13.6
blue by 26.0
6035
Unranked
116.80.0
116.8116.8
Auto14.3
Teleop90.0
End15.5
Third
7561
Unranked
60.10.0
60.160.1
Auto5.0
Teleop45.2
End9.9
blue by 43.5
7124
Unranked
103.70.0
103.7103.7
Auto15.6
Teleop79.2
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest odds38%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss odds31%Face the Boss odds