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Red392
3008140.7
7074136.7
6191110.6
Blue149
4537132.8
7278132.0
5983107.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326264100200300400500392149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3008
#20
140.70.2
139.9140.2
Auto17.6
Teleop104.9
End19.0
red by 7.9
4537
#12
132.80.2
132.6132.8
Auto18.7
Teleop96.2
End17.9
Second
136.70.2
136.1136.3
Auto16.6
Teleop107.2
End9.5
red by 4.7
132.00.1
132.0132.0
Auto18.4
Teleop99.4
End14.0
Third
6191
#18
110.60.4
109.5109.8
Auto12.7
Teleop88.3
End11.2
red by 3.3
5983
#14
107.30.0
107.3107.3
Auto15.5
Teleop86.1
End5.8